Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 10.707752 12.353108 14.113238 16.130176 18.371223 20.778639 23.553944
2025-06-01 8.524619 10.654533 13.074859 16.008222 19.445536 23.323869 28.007705
2025-06-08 6.902659 9.253917 12.068511 15.644049 20.020246 25.155652 31.587630
2025-06-15 5.919430 8.439046 11.594053 15.764716 21.056643 27.467961 35.735043
2025-06-22 5.067680 7.655772 11.035155 15.667530 21.738151 29.302633 39.306448
2025-06-29 4.484741 7.142245 10.745559 15.845889 22.720062 31.494873 43.350559
2025-07-06 4.006588 6.707312 10.500649 16.030787 23.676487 33.649240 47.381749
2025-07-13 3.688444 6.460689 10.479704 16.493817 24.995567 36.293695 52.106053
2025-07-20 3.370742 6.173798 10.365057 16.796620 26.082951 38.642571 56.489406
2025-07-27 3.015127 5.784041 10.057682 16.784717 26.705524 40.359038 60.052056
2025-08-03 2.559813 5.176493 9.362164 16.139637 26.369753 40.717882 61.748285
2025-08-10 2.254082 4.783811 8.963560 15.904385 26.597913 41.845848 64.508659
2025-08-17 1.958446 4.375463 8.507310 15.550474 26.631948 42.700416 66.920527
2025-08-24 1.729239 4.059217 8.173474 15.360999 26.892139 43.872651 69.797806
2025-08-31 1.497128 3.705996 7.742897 14.978893 26.824339 44.546075 71.958750
2025-09-07 1.365105 3.534112 7.613657 15.082630 27.512289 46.347810 75.791019
2025-09-14 1.219359 3.313904 7.376568 14.983365 27.862756 47.641872 78.898179
2025-09-21 1.123220 3.187181 7.300315 15.153119 28.648003 49.609963 83.043139
2025-09-28 1.037041 3.070920 7.232945 15.330514 29.446066 51.612113 87.277679
2025-10-05 0.987933 3.033781 7.314989 15.776901 30.703274 54.354017 92.684063
2025-10-12 0.926261 2.958424 7.314188 16.068961 31.706028 56.717446 97.559537
2025-10-19 0.840515 2.811503 7.155685 16.057388 32.185550 58.260259 101.203565
2025-10-26 0.710181 2.528795 6.689388 15.434808 31.578232 58.042865 102.111083